As previously discussed in Chat, I'm calling this the beginning of a head and shoulders top.  Cover (alert) above upper trend line.  Target shown.  I always leave a little on the table.  You never know if you've caught a top.

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  • Admin

    GMCR technically broke the neckline to the downside Friday but volume was unimpressive with many longs aren't wanting to cave in ahead of earnings.  I bought a upside call last week ahead of next weeks earnings.  Pricier yes rather than waiting for the night b4 earnings 2/04 (amc) but well worth it if they surprise and pop to the upside taking out the bear stops.   As noted in Chat last wee, Nielsen and NPD Group, point-of-sale trends have showed a more dramatic slowdown in brewer and K-cup sales than previously anticipated.  Foreign exchange rates  (Canada) may also be weighing on the k-cup maker, as we have seen and heard from other multinationals.  Maybe they hedged better.  Maybe sales are rebounding now with consumers having more spendable cash in their pocket due to lower gasoline costs.  Maybe their guidance will astound but maybe the new gadget growth "glow" is going the way of Mr. Coffee with other competitors now in the space.   If so, I'm already in the green and hedged.  If not, GMCR is headed to $110-115. 

    I always find it amazing that charts very often demonstrate weakness long before CNBS (sic) announces it.  That volume on the earnings in November may have been the tell.  Long live technical analysis.....and StockBuz got you in the trade ahead of the crowd.

  • Admin

    According to DowJonesNewswire: Dunkin' Brands Group Inc. (DNKN) , parent of Dunkin' Donut chain, said its K-Cups sales fell at least 10% in the fourth quarter. CEO Nigel Travis made the comments at an ICR XChange conference on Monday.

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