mcd (2)


Headlines And Risk Appetite

Very quickly some morning headlines.  While a few of the geopolitical risk headlines may be behind us (Brazil election, Russian border, etc) I believe markets are waiting for this quarters earnings (and guidance) to set the stage.  Multi-nationals with exposure overseas may struggle going forward if one believes the headlines below:

  • IMF revises and raises growth for the US BUT lowers prospects for the world (4.0 to 3.0%)
  • IMF says some valuations are "frothy"
  • SODA warns of miss and citing lower US demand (stick a fork in it)
  • Women's apparel mfgr CBK warns of lower sales; blames low mall traffic.
  • Hong Kong retailers experience sharp sales decline (blames protests of course because happy people would be spending)
  • AGCO cuts forecast, shares down 6% premarket
  • Taiwan's exports growth slips
  • MCD Japan expects net loss this year
  • Slide in German industrial output stokes fear of recession

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Is Fast Food Over Done?

In an economy where a good percentage of jobs being added are part time or earning $7.50/hour, I always wondered when the spending would slow, or at least corporations' efforts to hide it from their earnings line via internal re-organization, share buybacks, exhausting inventories, etc would run their course........and that time may be upon us.  Consider that MCD is already running their wildly famous "Monopoly" game now, in July rather in it's typical October/November slot and you get an idea that they're doing whatever they can to rustle up business.    24/7 Wall Street is wondering if the party is over as well.  My question now is who's next?  Mid-level retailers?  Leisure and activities? 

1290295?profile=RESIZE_320x320After McDonald’s Corporation (NYSE: MCD) posted a disappointing company earnings report we can only yet again consider that perhaps the easy money has been made in the casual dining sector. Many of these stocks have run up and done incredibly well since the end of the recession and now the privat

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